Wildcats Fall To No.2 Ohio State

Just another Big Ten match up we have here; well, not really. The Northwestern Wildcats walk into Columbus (10-2) trying to make a statement showing they are for real and that they belong in the NCAA Tournament come March. 

That'll have to wait for another time as Northwestern falls to, perhaps, the best team in the nation 87-54 in the Ohio State Buckeyes. The Wildcats have now lost an egregious 22 of 23 to the Buckeyes.

Northwestern had all sorts of problems containing the Buckeyes Big Two: Jared Sullinger and William Buford. Buford posted a career high 28 points, 9 rebounds, while going 5-7 from three. "Sully" finished with 17 points and 14 rebounds, although if Buford wasn't given the green light, Sullinger could've gotten 30. He was just able to maintain position in the post whenever he wanted to. Northwestern's Big Two, John Shurna and Drew Crawford, struggled. Shurna scored 11 points on 5-18 shooting. Crawford scored 13 points on 4-12 shooting.

As I watched from my couch, three factors I noticed that troubled Northwestern: Ball Movement, Offensive Rebounding, and Three-point shooting. Of course, I could pinpoint more, but these were the three that stood out most.

Ball Movement

Throughout the course of the game, Ohio State effortlessly spreaded the ball. Ohio State finished with a +5 advantage in assists, and honestly, I felt like there was more. Northwestern's inability to move the ball led to some questionable shot selections. I understand when a player is in a shooting slump, they must continue to shoot to shake it off - especially if it's one of your primary scorers - but no need to go stretches of shooting and missing. Drew Crawford did too much of this. He missed his first six field goals before making one, and in the midst of his struggles, Ohio State built a size-able lead. 

Offensive Rebounding

Rebounding is a key stat in why teams usually win games. Offensive Rebounding demonstrates that teams are getting second chance points. Not only did Northwestern get out-rebounded 48-28, the Wildcats were dominated in offensive rebounding, as well, 14-5. It's rare for a team to get dominated on the glass like the Wildcats did and expect to consistently win games. 

Three-point shooting

A strength of the Wildcats. In fact, they may be the varsity version of the Orlando Magic. But the three ball failed for them tonight. What's ironic is that a team not known for its 3PT shooting, used the very same component that propelled these Buckeyes to victory. Three point shooting helped the Buckeyes build the lead they had. That became painfully obvious as Ohio State knocked down seven three-point field goals at the half while the Wildcats hit one. Keep in mind, Ohio State was up by 15 going to the halftime. William Buford and Jordan Sibert combined to hit 9 of the 10 three pointers. Lights out, I say. While Shurna and Crawford, who are both shooting above 40% from three, went a combined 2 for 8 from three.

All and All, Northwestern is still on pace to finally make the NCAA Tournament. They've faced three ranked teams and lost to them all: Baylor, Creighton, and now, Ohio State. There's still is room for improvement against the ranked from now to March. Northwestern is good, but they're not ready to beat the Elite...yet.

2011-12 NBA Regular Season And Playoff Predictions

After being near two months over do, the 2011-12 season will finally (in The Rock's voice) begin tomorrow on Christmas Day! Games slated start with Celtics at Knicks at 12 p.m. ET on TNT, followed by doubleheaders on ABC, beginning with the NBA Finals Rematch between the Heat at Mavericks, which will lead up to the Bulls at Lakers afterwards. To end the night, ESPN will air doubleheaders of the Magic at Thunder and the new-look Clippers, who face the Warriors. But with any season in any sport, predictions are going to be forefront before season's start. 

Eastern Conference Final Standings                 

1. Miami Heat 55-11                               
2. Chicago Bulls 53-13
3. New York Knicks 46-20
4. Boston Celtics 43-23
5. Orlando Magic 39-27
6. Atlanta Hawks 37-29
7. Philadelphia 76ers 35-31
8. Indiana Pacers 32-34
9. Milwaukee Bucks 30-36
10. Detroit Pistons  27-39
11. New Jersey Nets 24-42
12. Charlotte Bobcats 20-46
13. Washington Wizards 17-49
14. Cleveland Cavaliers  16-50
15. Toronto Raptors      10-56

Western Conference Final Standings

1. Oklahoma City Thunder 52-14
2. San Antonio Spurs 49-17
3. Los Angeles Lakers 47-19
4. Dallas Mavericks     44-22
5. Los Angeles Clippers 40-26
6. Portland TrailBlazers  38-28
7. Memphis Grizzlies     37-29
8. Denver Nuggets       35-31
9. New Orleans Hornets 33-33
10. Utah Jazz                    31-35
11. Golden State Warriors 29-37                 
12. Houston Rockets        27-39
13. Phoenix Suns            25-41
14. Minnesota Timberwolves 15-51
15. Sacramento Kings          12-54

Regular Season Awards

MVP: Kevin Durant

DPOY: Serge Ibaka

Most Improved: Gerald Henderson/Greg Monroe

Rookie of the Year: Kemba Walker

NBA Stat Leaders

Scoring: Kobe Bryant

Rebounding: Kevin Love

Assists: Chris Paul

Blocks: Serge Ibaka

Steals: Rajon Rondo

Playoff Predictions

East 1st Round                     Conference Semifinals        Conference Finals     

1Heat vs 8Pacers 4-0          1Heat vs 5Magic  4-2         1Heat vs 2Bulls 4-2

2Bulls vs 7Sixers 4-1           2Bulls vs 3Knicks  4-3

3Knicks vs 6Hawks 4-1

4Celtics vs 5Magic 4-2

West 1st Round                    Conference Semifinals           Conference Finals

1Thunder vs 8Nuggets 4-1    1Thunder vs 5Clippers 4-3    1Thunder vs 3Lakers 4-1

2Spurs vs 7Grizzlies  4-2       7Grizzlies vs 3Lakers  4-3

3Lakers vs 6Blazers 4-3

4Mavs vs 5Clippers 4-2

NBA Finals

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder 

Heat Wins Series 4-2

I know, obvious pick to win the Larry O'Brien Trophy, but I always had the Heat winning in their second season. I originally had a conviction that the Lakers would be in the finals, but they've lost what little they have with their bench. As I aforementioned in the beginning, the season finally gets underway tomorrow. And in the words of Bart Scott, "Can't Wait!"

Note: I do NOT take credit for this photo.

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How Can The Nets Form Their Own Big Three?

Let's get this straight, the Celtics started this trend after their acquisition of Ray Allen from Seattle. Then, about a month later, Boston acquires Kevin Garnett. Their success immediately led them to a championship in Year One. And after watching such success take place, players have began to form the mindset that this is the way to win a title nowadays. Long Story Short, a new era of basketball has formed. 

With teams like the Celtics, Heat, Knicks, Clippers, Bulls, etc, stacking up, other franchises are on the outside looking in. It's going to get to the extent that teams can't win without one. Heck, that's what the NBA is trying to avoid. This was proving even more so when reports rumored Cavs Owner, Dan Gilbert, pressured David Stern to veto the CP3 trade to the Lakers. According to said reports, Gilbert felt if this trade processed, 25 of the 30 teams should change their names to the "Washington Generals." Pretty much suggesting a lack of competitive balance, which is what the league was against. But there is one team that might be able to enter the elite fray of having their own Big Three: The Nets.

Nets Owner Mikhail Prokhorov has been pursuing the top free agents, only to come up short. Up to date, his best moves have been acquiring PG Deron Williams from Utah, as well as, Center Mehnet Okur. The Nets have now shifted their attention on Orlando Magic Big Man, Dwight Howard. Howard has said to request a trade to specific teams, with the Nets being one of them. But see, if they land Howard in a trade, or through free agency, they still won't have enough the contend. It'll be Howard, Williams, and everyone else. So who else should they add? Well, how about Kevin Love?

Kevin Love came off a breakout year by leading the league in rebounding (15.2), as well as averaging 20.2 ppg. You telling me the Nets couldn't use his services? While the T'Wolves are adding some nice pieces, one has to know they won't be contending anytime soon. Love can help out a contending team immediately. And technically, the Lakers could use him too. The catch is that both teams must have Dwight Howard first. Love and Howard on one team equals the number one leading rebounding team in the NBA. And we know how important that is in the game of basketball. 

            Kevin Love boxing out David Lee for position. Credit: soraspy.com

How to acquire him? Well, Brook Lopez must be the key component for this. And you know how the Mavericks pretty much relinquished next to nothing for Odom? I don't see New Jersey having to do much either. I say throw in Lopez, Okur, and a 1st round-pick. And this is assuming Howard leaves Orlando, via free agency, and they sign him. The starting lineup could look as such:

SF Kris Humphries

PF Kevin Love

C Dwight Howard

SG Anthony Morrow

PG Deron Williams

Boom! There's the Nets version of their Big Three. But everything has to fall correctly like other trades. Of course, this is just one man's opinion.

Chicago Bulls: Could This Be The Year?

So a new season will shortly began in a matter of days, and on Christmas Day to be exact. The steadfast Chicago Bulls are coming off an impressive league's best 62-20 record, with a trip to the Eastern Conference Finals versus the Miami Heat. Now although the Bulls came up short of their eventual goal, it was still a season full of overachieving. 

But things are different now. Teams have now been put on notice that the Chicago Bulls are the real deal. But are Derrick Rose and Co. good enough to bring home the O'Brien Trophy?

Last season on my talk show, Sports Talk With Lamar and Ced, I continued to reiterate to my Co-Host, Cedric, the Chicago Bulls would not make it to the NBA Finals. Why? Simple. The team's offense.

Despite the Bulls making a key free agent acquisition signing in Carlos Boozer, he always struck me as a player who is as good as the point guard is. Not to mention, he is very injury-prone. So I didn't believe he would be the guy to propel the Bulls over the top. Over the course of the regular season, it became very obvious to me that it was Derrick Rose or bust. If he struggles, so does the team. They feed off him. Now because the Bulls play excellent defense under "Thibs," one would figure that the offense takes care of itself. Not so fast though. I feel it's completely different when the PG has to be the primary scorer. And I figured this would be the conflict for the Bulls moving forward. 

It is a rare feat for a team to win a championship under a PG being the primary option. Looking back on history, I realized the players who tried and failed: CP3, DWill, Iverson, etc. LeBron James would even count as when he was in Cleveland, he was basically a SF playing the role of PG. The big issue is that the role of a PG is being the distributor and allowing the offense to be in rhythm while avoiding players being stationary. Therefore, if he has the be the primary, the offense will have its moments of being stagnant -especially if Rose has to take over in the fourth quarter. That is what wound up happening in the ECF. He went up against the one team that can compete with the Bulls defensively, in the Miami Heat, and he struggled.  

So the Bulls tried to address that need and fill in the void. They picked up Richard Hamilton, SG who formerly played for the Detroit Pistons and Washington Wizards; the guy they hope to be the missing piece to an NBA Championship. Well, after watching last night's preseason game, there may be reason for optimism. In his Bulls debut, Hamilton scored 13 points and dished out six assists. While Rose focused...there's the word again...distribution. He had nine assists. But the telling stat is that the Chicago Bulls, as a team, recorded 30 assists. That's what you call excellent ball movement, which is what I feel the Bulls needed more of last season. 

If this is the Bulls team we see this season, they just might be able to oust every team that gets in their way en route to an NBA Finals Championship. But the one question that still lingers is Richard Hamilton. Despite his impressive performance last night, there needs to be an establishment that Hamilton can be the Robin to Batman consistently, or in some nights, Batman. If Hamilton can still give the Bulls 15 to 17 ppg this season, the Bulls will find themselves in the NBA Finals. Because not only does Chicago play excellent defense and maintain a deep bench, we may now allow DRose do to what a PG mainly does. And only then will we have a balanced offensive attack. 

LeBron James: Take Notes; You Might Learn Something

So here you have it: A Tale of Two Tapes. One of Albert Pujols, and the other of LeBron James.

Do you see a difference? If you've been keeping up with Sports like I have, I'm sure you would know. But, just in case, I might as well inform anyway.

To the left of me is Albert Pujols, celebrating his second World Series Victory, with fellow Cardinal teammate, Lance Berkman. He looks quite joyous and teary-eyed doesn't he?

On the other hand, you have LeBron James. He doesn't look so jubilant does he? Of course not. Back in the 2009-10 NBA Season, James and the No. 1 seeded Cleveland Cavaliers were ousted in the Conference Semifinals by the Boston Celtics in six games.

But here's what makes this compare and contrast so intriguing? Both superstars entered the final year of their contracts with their respective teams: Cardinals and Cavaliers. Not to mention, the two superstars played out there final year in different style.

I think it's safe to say that both players kept the media on their P's and Q's throughout. From LeBron's constant hints of "will he stay or will he go?" to Albert's continuous contract dispute that started as far as Spring Training.

How did both handle the upcoming season? Well, LeBron led his team to an NBA's best 61-21 record, meaning if the Cavs advanced to the NBA Finals, they would have home-field advantage. But that was the big IF.

What actually happened was LeBron James came up short - and that's an understatement - following Game 3, where he exploded for 38 points after the media wondered about a possible elbow injury. In Game 4, the Cavs were down 74-72 entering the fourth Quarter. LeBron proceeded to go 1-of-6 shooting in the fourth. Now this was just a small sampling of what was to come the rest of the series for LeBron James.

Next was a critical Game 5 for both squads. Boston was riding on momentum from their Game 4 win. Cleveland, now back at Quicken Loans, was looking to put the series back in their favor. Obviously that didn't happen. Why? Cause LeBron James conceded the fight before it was over.

In Game 5, LeBron went 3-of-14 shooting with 15 points in 42 minutes. One could say great defense was played, but from what I was watching, I wouldn't say so.

Remember the LeBron James who was playing "hot potato" in the NBA Finals for the Miami Heat last season? That wasn't the first time he did so. Throughout the course of the entire game, James seemed to carry a nonchalant attitude about how the game was transpiring. He looked like he had no sense of urgency. He was constantly looking as if he wanted no part of the offense. Long Story Short: He was disengaged. The performance was such an all-time low for LeBron, maybe even a superstar of his caliber, that the Cavs lost 120-88, their worst home playoff loss in history. And what makes matters even worse, then 38-year-old Shaquille O'Neal showed more heart and resiliency as he went 7-of-11 for 21 points in 27 minutes.

Now the Cavs head back to hostile territory for Game 6 in TD Garden. A chance for LeBron James to redeem himself. And despite his monster triple-double of 27 pts, 19 reb, and 10 asts, it was one of the most silent triple-doubles I had ever witnessed (no pun intended). Even though he drilled back-to-back three pointers and cut the lead to four, I still didn't see the will from him. He proceeded to go 1-of-3 the rest of the fourth, and thus, the Cavs were bounced from the playoffs 94-85.

On the flip side, Albert Pujols and his Cardinals fought back and forth much of season for the NL Central with the Milwaukee Brewers. In the month of August, St. Louis lost touch in the division, as well as, the Wild card---as they fell as far as 10.5 GB. But then came September as Pujols' bat finally came alive, and he had a late stretch of batting .423/4/18. His hot hitting led to his team catching fire and making a serious run at the NL wild card. In that month of September, the Cards won series against the Brewers, Phillies, and  faltering Atlanta Braves. Luckily as he cooled off, the rest of the team picked up the slack. Not to mention, his cool-off period began when the Cards were beginning to face teams like the Mets, Cubs, and Astros. The Cardinals could beat them without Pujols in the lineup.

But unlike LeBron James, Pujols and Co. kept grinding. They were able to beat the heavily favored Philadelphia Phillies in five. They ousted the Brew Crew in six. And they overcame all odds to best the Texas Rangers in the 107th World Series in seven. Pujols' stat line in the postseason was .353/5/16. His World Series stat line was only .240/3/6.

Although, the difference is, Pujols will be known for having one of the Greatest World Series Performances in MLB History. He bashed three homers in Game 3 at Arlington. The Cardinals took the series lead 2-1 afterwards. In Game 6, he hit a line drive double with one out in the ninth inning while the Cards were down 7-5. If not for David Freese's heroics in the that game , and his Game Seven Performance, Pujols would be your World Series MVP.

The point i'm trying to get across is that Pujols kept it together. With contract disputes lingering in the back of his mind, he tossed that aside and just played his game. Sure he slumped for most of the season, but then as he flipped the switch, so did the team. Now I acknowledge that it wasn't all him, but c'mon, isn't there some validity to this? They were 10.5 GB in the Wild Card and somehow prospered. Albert could've quit on the season the way the Cardinals were going, but instead provided a spark. While LeBron tanks it when his team really needed him. And some will say "you don't know if he quit" and that's true. But I have my reasons.

As a former fan and believer of LeBron, I watched all the games of his as I could. Everybody who knows me know that I was a true blue defender of him. When he failed in the playoffs over the course of his career, I stuck with him because he was giving every ounce of heart he had. That's more than I can say for his debacle in his final year in Cleveland. He looked like a crushed soul who was ready to tap out the second he could. I saw no urgency, resilency, determination, etc in that series from LeBron - at least after Game 4 when the series was tied two apiece. I had never been so distraught at the performances LeBron bestowed upon me and millions of other fans. He disgraced the No. 23 and the honor the number carried. Instead of grinding it out when the going got tough, he bailed out. Not something Albert Pujols did is it? And then after watching Bron on NBA Countdown mention, in 2010, saying how he "would not rest" till he brings a title to Cleveland, this made matters worse for my perception.

Bottom Line: What Albert Pujols did in the final year of his contract is what LeBron James should've did! At least if LeBron still decided to leave, he would've fulfilled his duty. I don't ridicule him for leaving Cleveland; it's just way he did it (and I'm not talking about The Decision either). LeBron James: That is how a superstar handles their business!  Point Blank.


Image Credits to http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/images/2010_05_14/nba-celtics-oust-james-cavaliers-in-six-games-2010-05-14_l.jpg and http://www.zimbio.com/pictures/LQzo9xZjFzc/2011+World+Series+Game+7+Texas+Rangers+v+St/CKeOASVDQ8_/Lance+Berkman

All Stats were retrieved from:  http://espn.go.com/nba/playoffs/2010/matchup/_/teams/celtics-cavaliers
http://scores.espn.go.com/mlb/playbyplay?gameId=311027124
http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/splits/_/id/4574/albert-pujols
http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/date/20110827

Chase For The Cup #7: Martinsville

    

                                       nascar.about.com/Image: GIF

So now that the Chase drivers have survived trials and tribulations of Talladega...well, not all, but enough to still make it a compelling battle for the Sprint Cup as the reign of Five-time Jimmie Johnson is more than likely over. We go from Superspeedway to good ole' fashioned short track racing at Martinsville Speedway!

Last week at Talladega was actually pretty calm, except the fact that seven of the 12 Chase drivers finished 25th or worse: Earnhardt Jr. (25th), Johnson (26th), Gordon (27th), Harvick (32nd), Kyle Busch (33rd), Kurt Busch (36th), Newman (38th). Three of those drivers, (Harvick, Ky. and Ku. Busch), still had a chance coming into Talladega of being the champion. With Kyle Busch and Kurt Busch out by 40 and 52 points respectively, both Busch brothers title hopes are done. Kevin Harvick, on the other hand, is 26 points back and a win this weekend would put him right back in the hunt. 

But as of now, it looks to be a four man race with four remaining. Those being point leader Carl Edwards, Matt Kenseth, Brad Keselowski, and Tony Stewart. And honestly, all of these drivers will probably want a solid day coming Sunday as neither of these drivers track records are impressive. What's ironic is that the heavy hitters at Martinsville aren't even threats for the rest of this Chase. They're just looking for wins. Care to take a gander at who all I'm referring to?

Favorites

Denny Hamiln

Hamiln celebrates by completing the Martinsville sweep.
catchfence.com/JPG

Let's try this again, and take advantage of another opportunity to salvage with what his been clearly a disappointing season. He swept Martinsville last year, bringing his Grandfather clock total to four. Can you come through this time Denny? Can you?

Jeff Gordon and Jimmie Johnson

I had to. Neither one should be left off the favorites list. Just look at there track record. In 37 starts, Jeff Gordon has 7 wins with an average finish of 7.0. Unbelievable consistency! And then Jimmie Johnson; He has 6 wins and an average finish of 5.6 in 19 starts. Outstanding! Between them that's 56 starts with 13 wins and a 6.3 average finish. Can you say total domination? 

Darkhorses

Dale Earnhardt Jr.

While his two teammates I just mentioned above have legendary numbers here, Junior has been pretty solid himself. He doesn't have any wins, although he should have won a few here by now, he's consistent. In fact, if the race was six laps less, he wins Martinsville. I expect him to do very well this weekend. After all, Dale Jr is a very respectable short track racer. He can 'git er done'. 

Kevin Harvick

Credit: autoracingdaily.com/ Image: JPG

So "Mr. Where Did He Come From" did exactly that as he was the one who passed Junior to take home the checkered flag in the spring. After his 32nd place finish at Dega last weekend, Harvick must have a race that he had at Richmond months ago. No more hanging around at the finish. He has to lead laps and win. Point blank.

       

Risktakers

Tony Stewart

Forget the fact that he has two wins at Mville; what have you done for me lately? Just place an average finish of 28th over the last three races. If he wants to still contend for the Cup, he must have a better day than that. At least salvage a top ten. I expect him to finish better, but how much is the question.

Thanks to Mother Nature, Sprint Cup Practice was washed out Friday. Because of this, only one practice is scheduled for tomorrow at 8:30 a.m. EST on Speed, followed by Qualifying at 12 p.m. EST. This is the one race where I think Carl Edwards could slip up enough to let competitors behind him gain. Since he's playing defense, he cannot afford to get over aggressive. Which is ironic, because, well, you know......it's short track racing! Short track racing equals aggressive racing. But he has to channel that in and survive much like he did at Talladega. Unless of course, he is in position to win; but that's just my opinion. 

All race stats acquired from http://racing-reference.info/

Chase For The Cup #6: Talladega

The "Big One" is what makes Talladega the wild card track.
allleftturns.com/JPG

Well, let the overnight anxiety begin for Sunday's afternoon Good Sam Club 500. What is shown in the picture above is exactly where the anxiety comes from. A driver finds themselves keeping their position one lap, and on that very same lap, their day could be done with the snap of a finger. But it is even more so for the Chase drivers that still have a shot of winning the Sprint Cup. The key is to be among the 'survival of the fittest.'

But the scenario is different this year. Most come into Talladega trailing Five-Time Series Champ Jimmie Johnson. The hope is that he would get tangled up in someone else's misfortune, leading to the familiar concept of  'opportunity knocks' for a Chase contender. 

This time around, series point leader Carl Edwards is the one that needs to be playing defense. His lead is only five points on Kevin Harvick and seven points on last week's winner, Matt Kenseth. So in essence, all three drivers need to play defense for the majority of the race and wait to strike in the closing laps like so many have. Of course drivers like Kyle Busch, Tony Stewart, Kurt Busch, Brad.K, and even Five-Time hope that misfortune can strike them - assuming that they're able to dodge trouble themselves.

Favorites

Hendrick Motorsports 

Jimmie Johnson, #48, winning the only Talladega race this year

by photo finish. thefastandthefabulous.com/JPG                      

All of Hendrick Motorsports this year have been bad fast at both restrictor plates: Daytona and Talladega. As you see in the picture to the right of me, the 48, 24, and 88 are there at the checkered flag. The 5 is just behind, but he lost momentum after attempting to hold off a charging Johnson and Earnhardt Jr. The finishing order was 1st, 3rd, 4th, and 8th. Not to mention, in the spring, the Hendrick Cars swept the front two rows in qualifying. They've looked strong again in practice and qualifying. Barring a wreck, they'll all be at the finish.

Clint Bowyer

He's probably the most underrated plate driver today. I remember picking him to win the Daytona 500 this year and he showed why I should've because he led much of that race. But a wreck with four to go cost him a shot. Then at the first Talladega race, he led the most laps and was beat by .002 seconds. Oh and let's not forget, he is the defending race winner of this event. This perhaps is his best opportunity of getting a win before he leaves for Michael Waltrip Racing at season's end.

Darkhorses

Kurt Busch 

Ku. Busch is the best restrictor plate driver to have not won at one in a season. He's got the second best average finish, just under 14th. He's 27 points back from the lead, so a win would be much needed. Then again, he might have to play a defense too. Being involved in a wreck would end his championship hopes.

Kevin Harvick

Harvick celebrates his 2010 Dega win after
passing J-Mac in the tri-oval.
nasfans.com/JPG

Lately he has been accredited as "the best plate driver" in the field. In Harvick's last three trips here, he has a April 2010 victory, a second, and a fifth, in that order. This has to make Harvick 'happy' because he comes in only down by five points. If he can survive, Harvick could very well live up to another nickname of his: "Mr. Where Did He Come From". 

Risk Takers

Honestly, anyone could be a risk taker given the series of events that can take place, but...

2/3 of Joe Gibbs Racing (Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin)

Now while restrictor plate racing, you have to patient and lucky. Neither of which both these talented  drivers possess too much of when it comes to Daytona and Talladega. Busch's aggression often gets him into trouble; He has only two top tens in 13 Career Starts. After his 2008 win, Busch only has one top ten in his last six. Hamlin's misfortune has seemed to more unlucky if anything. He has had quite the motor under the #11 over the years because every time I watch, he's always pushing someone to the front. Unfortunately, after doing what he does, Hamiln is often left out to dry and gets kicked to the back, where the turmoil usually begins. His track record is better than his teammate's, but I don't expect neither to be around for the finish. And for Busch's sake, he needs the opposite to occur. 

This race truly is the wild card of all wild cards. I know myself, as a Gordon fan, won't be paranoid as much because his Championship hopes have been shattered. Although, if he wrecks, i'll still be angry. The point is racing Talladega will feel like the season finale at Homestead. Much pressure will be involved of making it through the full 188. I fully expect to see a shake up in the points. And considering Johnson is 35 back, he still has a shot, especially knowing that luck has been on side here come October.

Anyway, my pick to win is A.J. Allmendinger of the #43 Richard Petty Ford. Surprising choice, yes, but in two of three restrictor plate races, we've had first time winners: Trevor Bayne and David Ragan. Let's add to that list. Analysts every where have been saying he will be the next first timer. I'll pick him because no one else has.